What's Hot and What's Not

What's Hot & Cold in the Australia Property Market

Each week our research team selects some of the hottest updates and news feeds from around Australia reporting on what's driving their property markets and prepares an exclusive snap snot for our members.

We monitor everything from private and public investments to property supply issues that help us determine what area is set to explode and become Australia's hottest property markets .

Whilst the below is a snapshot, if you want to discuss our updates in more detail, please call our office on 02 9917 8600 . We have inserted our research links for each update to give further information on what we are reporting on for each state.

If any members have any questions, please click here  and send us your details.


This Weeks What's Hot & What's Not -  16th  August 2012    

WHWN NSW

NSW - "Regional centres outperform cities"

It’s nice to be able to keep this bit short.

We’ve addressed these issues with you over the last couple of years and we’re glad to see others getting the point.

Some simple truths -

  1. Lower priced areas perform better as investments
  2. Some regional centres are better placed than city locations in general
  3. These dynamics are likely to continue

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WHWN QLD

QLD - “Qld ‘muscle cities’ a demonstration of this"

This one confirms a lot of what we already know.  Qld has some of the best and worst investment locations in the country.

One month is also too short a time to depend on real estate statistics.  A downturn in activity is a bit of a pointer to the flightiness of short term stats and may even lend some weight to the unproven argument that property sentiment is less positive in winter.  Certainly the impending first home owners grant on July 1 st has had some effect. 

Unsurprisingly, the coastal ‘muscle’ cities are broadly seeing demand, and in the inland, Toowoomba is on the move.

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Whats Hot Whats Not Exclusive Offer!

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WHWN WA

WA - "Housing stress in Perth"

One of the unfortunate consequences of rapid capital growth in property values is the housing stress it creates.

Unfortunate but a reality.

One of the answers for investors is to provide affordable housing.  We view property investments as “boxes to make you money” and believe that we as investors need to remain unemotional about our investments.  By no means be a “slum lord” but don’t overcapitalize either.  Provide solid quality affordable housing options.

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WHWN NT

NT - "Stats show momentum picking up in the Top End" 

Reading real estate statistics can be a difficult game. 

Median pricing is often misleading as it draws on sample pools than may or may not reasonably reflect the overall quality of an area.  A year is usually too short a time to create an adequate pool of transactions for the median pricing approach, but 10 years in many areas is ok.  With rentals, and a higher level of turnover, a year in a large centre offers a trend.

These numbers are unsurprising given the trend in Darwin.  The only concern is that they are backwards looking and need to be understood in conjunction with what is coming to the region.  The drivers are strong in Darwin.  As one example, most of the 3,000 or so construction workers required for the Inpex project construction are yet to arrive, let alone the spinoff effect their arrival will have.

The ‘Top End’ has a bright future.  Look for stock in the cheaper areas of Palmerston that will house most of the arriving workers. Land can still be picked up in the mid $200,000s and the market is moving.

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WHWN VIC

VIC - "Victoria branded “the recession state”

We’ve often suggested to you that Terry Ryder is one of the property commentators worth reading.  We don’t always necessarily agree with him but he does his research and makes reasonable comment.  We couldn’t agree more with his assessment of Victoria’s prospects in this recent column.

“Victoria will soon be known as the recession state. While the state government is spreading its austerity message, major businesses are cutting jobs and closing down enterprises. The latest quarterly survey by the Victoria Employers Chamber of Commerce and Industry found businesses believe conditions are the worst since 2009, and two-thirds expect matters to get worse.” 

Terry’s recent review of the states -

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  Property Investment ACT

ACT - "Confidence low in Canberra, and not just in our pollies"

As touched on above, quarterly dwelling prices are too unreliable for you to hang your hat on.  These interest us because they support our suspicions about Canberra property in 2012 – it’s long term strong but has a bunch of problems at the moment leading to low consumer confidence. 

As a sideline, we were interested in Victoria’s and Tasmania’s numbers as well

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Whats Hot Whats Not Exclusive Offer!

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WHWN SA

SA - “BHP the elephant in the big top, but the carnival hasn’t started"

Meanwhile, over in the “Festival State” the property investment carnival won’t kick off until the elephant in the room makes a move.

The drawn out saga of BHP Billiton and Olympic Dam.

The state government is looking at, but as yet uncommitted to taking steps like a cut in stamp duties to stimulate property markets.  All prepositioning seats in the big top but crowds will wait for the elephant to get active.

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Don't watch the market move, move with it. Click here if you want to become a member and receive our 'FREE' weekly reports. Call our office on 02 9917 8600 if you have any questions about our reports.


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Whats Hot & What's Not!

A state by state guide on whats happening around Australia.